Risk‐sensitive sizing of responsive facilities

We develop a risk‐sensitive strategic facility sizing model that makes use of readily obtainable data and addresses both capacity and responsiveness considerations. We focus on facilities whose original size cannot be adjusted over time and limits the total production equipment they can hold, which is added sequentially during a finite planning horizon. The model is parsimonious by design for compatibility with the nature of available data during early planning stages. We model demand via a univariate random variable with arbitrary forecast profiles for equipment expansion, and assume the supporting equipment additions are continuous and decided ex‐post. Under constant absolute risk aversion, operating profits are the closed‐form solution to a nontrivial linear program, thus characterizing the sizing decision via a single first‐order condition. This solution has several desired features, including the optimal facility size being eventually decreasing in forecast uncertainty and decreasing in risk aversion, as well as being generally robust to demand forecast uncertainty and cost errors. We provide structural results and show that ignoring risk considerations can lead to poor facility sizing decisions that deteriorate with increased forecast uncertainty. Existing models ignore risk considerations and assume the facility size can be adjusted over time, effectively shortening the planning horizon. Our main contribution is in addressing the problem that arises when that assumption is relaxed and, as a result, risk sensitivity and the challenges introduced by longer planning horizons and higher uncertainty must be considered. Finally, we derive accurate spreadsheet‐implementable approximations to the optimal solution, which make this model a practical capacity planning tool.© 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

非线性放大器对伪码测距误差的影响分析

在高精度伪码测距系统中,高功率放大器(HPA)是信号发射链路的重要组成部分,HPA会对发射信号引入非线性失真,进而恶化系统的伪码测距性能.通过理论推导和数值分析的方法,研究HPA的非线性特性对高精度伪码测距误差的影响,给出非线性放大条件下,伪码跟踪误差与放大器类型、放大器输出回退(OBO)、扩频码形参数等的定量关系.研究结果对工程上HPA的选择、功率余量的保留、基带扩频码形的设计等具有重要的参考价值.     

调运问题中基于栅格模型的快速路径规划方法

针对调运路径规划这一问题,采用栅格模型表示环境地图,通过设定路径搜索方向权重,剔除不必要的搜索区域,提高了搜索效率.仿真结果表明,该算法能有效地提高路径搜索效率,并能搜索到最优路径.     

Models for production planning under power interruptions

We present a robust optimization model for production planning under the assumption that electricity supply is subject to uncertain interruptions caused by participation in interruptible load contracts (ILCs). The objective is to minimize the cost of electricity used for production while providing a robust production plan which ensures demand satisfaction under all possible interruption scenarios. The combinatorial size of the set of interruption scenarios makes this a challenging problem. Furthermore, we assume that no probabilistic information is known about the supply uncertainty: we only use the information given in the ILC to identify an uncertainty set that captures the possible scenarios. We construct a general robust framework to handle this uncertainty and present a heuristic to compute a good feasible solution of the robust model. We provide computational experiments on a real‐world example and compare the performance of an exact solver applied to the robust model with that of the heuristic procedure. Finally, we include the operational impact of interruptions such as “recovery modes” in the definition of the uncertainty set. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

YHFT-DX处理器全定制EDA技术的开发与应用

在YHFT-DX处理器的研制中,研究并实现了多项支撑全定制设计的EDA技术。针对全定制设计的功能验证,研究并实现了层次式功能模型自动提取技术,能够将晶体管级网表转化为等效的RTL级网表。研究并实现了晶体管级混合时序分析方法,可自动分析全定制设计的延时,并采用多线程并行的方法获得了约10倍左右的速度提升。为提高模拟结果分析的效率,开发了一个延时提取的工具Aimeasure。开发了两个信号完整性分析工具PNVisual和NoiseSpy,分别用于全定制设计的IR-Drop分析和噪声分析。上述技术已在YHFT-DX处理器的设计中得到了广泛应用,有效提高了全定制设计的效率与质量。     

The failure of defense planning in European Post-Communist Defense Institutions: ascertaining causation and determining solutions

By any objective measure, defense institutions in Central and Eastern Europe have all but universally been incapable of producing viable defense plans that are based on objective costing and operational planning data. This situation exists in spite the provision of considerable Western advice and assistance, let alone reporting to and receiving assessments by NATO’s International Staff under Partnership for Peace, as well as via the integrated defense planning and reporting systems. An explanation for this systematic failure across European post-Communist defense institutions can be found in the continued slow development of an over-arching policy framework which directs and approves all activities of the armed forces, as well as the de-centralization of financial decision-making down to capability providers. The essay ends with an examination of the adverse effects of the early introduction of planning programming, budgeting system (PPBS), have had on the development of effective policy and planning capabilities within these defense institutions.     

水面舰艇编队空中威胁扇面角预测模型

针对水面舰艇编队空中威胁扇面角的预测问题,分析了影响空中威胁扇面角大小的主要因素。以具有航路规划能力的远程反舰导弹为对象,从航空兵及远程反舰导弹的作战使用特点和装备性能限制着手,建立了计算威胁扇面角的数学模型。通过仿真分析,得出了主要参数对威胁扇面角的影响规律,为水面舰艇编队对空防御兵力的配置提供了依据。     

基于辅助制导的无人飞行器有向航迹网络图设计

基于辅助制导的无人飞行器多航迹规划是现今航迹规划的主流研究方向之一。飞行器规划空间广,规划过程耗时长,如何提高航迹规划的速度是一个急待解决的问题。因此,提出了一种在预处理过程中生成的、满足战场环境和基于辅助制导无人飞行器飞行特性的有向航迹网络图。该网络图适用于基于辅助制导的无人飞行器多航迹快速规划,使用数据库存储和管理,具有整体数据结构化、易扩充、占用内存资源小、可大大缩短规划时间等优点。     

一种面向虚拟维修训练的拆装序列描述方法

通过分析机电产品的维修特点、虚拟维修训练的需求以及产品维护规程的结构特点,提出了一种采用树型和有向图混合结构来统一描述产品维护规程和拆卸安装序列的方法,并以Visual C++/MFC为工具,开发了维护规程控件,解决了虚拟维修训练中产品维护规程和拆卸安装序列的同步直观显示、约束关系解算、规程文件存取等问题,并为维护规程的可视化编辑提供了工具。实践表明,该方法满足虚拟维修训练对维护规程和拆装序列的描述要求。     

多无人机梯次攻击航路规划

为了解决多无人机协同攻击航路规划问题,基于一种雷达威胁等效方法,以及无人机在不同姿态下雷达散射截面RCS(Radar Cross-Section)值随之改变的特性,结合多机作战战术思想,提出了一种多无人机梯次协同攻击同一目标的方法,并利用Dijkstra算法进行多无人机航路规划.仿真结果表明,该方法具有更高的应用价值.